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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 35.42% | 25.39% | 39.18% |
| Both teams to score 56.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% | 47.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% | 61.08% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% | 23.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% | 58.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.34% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.19% |