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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
50.96%22.55%26.49%
Both teams to score 61.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09%60.91%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65%15.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88%44.12%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65%27.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19%62.8%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 50.96%
    Mainz 05 26.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.87%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-1 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.53%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz 05

Borussia Monchengladbach
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Mainz 05
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
2-3
Borussia M'bach
Mateta (23', 36')
Kunde (49'), Jannis Kilian (61'), Niakhate (75'), Latza (77'), Zentner (83')
Stindl (15'), Hofmann (76' pen.), Ginter (83')
Embolo (53'), Neuhaus (62'), Thuram (84')
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Mainz 05
Plea (24', 76'), Neuhaus (87')
Rose (36'), Embolo (85')
Quaison (11')
Pierre-Gabriel (10'), Brosinski (80'), Baku (86')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Quaison (18')
Onisiwo (45'), Niakhate (45')
Lainer (31'), Plea (77'), Embolo (79')
Zakaria (86'), Kramer (89')