Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mainz 05 in this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
33.25%	24.44%	42.31%

Both teams to score 59.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34%

43.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95%

66.05%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.29%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25%

20.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62%

53.38%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 33.25%

Mainz 05 42.31%

Draw 24.43%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.31%