Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Alario (35'), Bellarabi (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Darida (42')
Boateng (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
74.14%	15.14%	10.71%

Both teams to score 56.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.39%

51.61%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.04%

6.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.48%

25.51%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 74.14%

Hertha Berlin 10.71%

Draw 15.14%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.76% 5-0 @ 3.07% 5-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 4% Total : 74.14%	1-1 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.23% 0-0 @ 2.74% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.14%	1-2 @ 3.17% 0-1 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-2 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.71%