Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.