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Hamburg logo
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Hamburger SV
0 - 2
Hertha Berlin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyata (4'), Plattenhardt (63')
Boateng (31'), Jovetic (37'), Tousart (83')
Tousart (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hamburger SV and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Bayreuth vs. Hamburger SV
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hamburger SV 2-1 Hertha Berlin

 Hamburg were impressive in the first leg on Thursday, but the same cannot be said for Hertha, who are in bad form ahead of this match. The visitors are capable of turning the tie around, but we believe that Hamburg will again win on the night to secure a return to the Bundesliga courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawHertha Berlin
66.69% (1.744 1.74) 18.35% (-0.455 -0.46) 14.96% (-1.29 -1.29)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-1.541 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.67% (-0.511 -0.51)35.32% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.65% (-0.569 -0.57)57.35% (0.569 0.57)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18% (0.28 0.28)9.81% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.4% (0.645 0.64)32.59% (-0.646 -0.65)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-1.914 -1.91)36.43% (1.913 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-1.984 -1.98)73.22% (1.982 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 66.69%
    Hertha Berlin 14.96%
    Draw 18.35%
Hamburger SVDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.472 0.47)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.451 0.45)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.31 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.167 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.69%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Hertha Berlin

Hamburger SV
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Hertha Berlin
14.0%
129
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Hamburger SV

Stark (29'), Tousart (30'), Boyata (49')
Reis (57')
Mar 17, 2018 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Santos (25')
van Drongelen (41')
Lazaro (56'), Kalou (63')
Lazaro (33'), Kraft (48'), Plattenhardt (68')
Oct 28, 2017 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Hamburger SV
Stark (17'), Rekik (50')
Stark (9'), Pekarik (52')
Arp (73')
Kostic (30')
Mar 5, 2017 4.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Ekdal (77')
Papadopoulos (55')

Stark (41'), Darida (64')
Oct 1, 2016 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Hamburger SV
Ibisevic (29', 69' pen.)
Plattenhardt (16'), Haraguchi (31')

Santos (3'), Holtby (27'), Ekdal (32'), Muller (48'), Cleber (78'), Lasogga (92')
rhs 2.0
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