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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
61.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.53% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.54%
    Hertha Berlin 19.15%
    Draw 19.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.54%
5-1 @ 1.92%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
10.0%
Hertha Berlin
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Dortmund
Darida (34')
Grujic (5'), Darida (18'), Ibisevic (83')
Sancho (15'), Hazard (17')
Hummels (19')
Hummels (45')