Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.