/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Serge Gnabry
15'
-
Robert Lewandowski
34'
-
Jamal Musiala
83'
-
Julian Nagelsmann
87'
-
Emre Can
40'
-
Marco Rose
41'
-
Emre Can
52'
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F14%2Fbayaug.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Bayern Munich Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 7.24%
4-1 @ 4.39%
4-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 66.08%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.43%
0-1 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.48%