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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
3 - 1
Dortmund

Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Borussia Dortmund

 As has been the case in recent years, this looks set to be a hugely entertaining game on Saturday, with both sides tending to ignore defensive concerns to focus on an attacking mindset in past meetings. We believe that trend will continue here, with Bayern having too much for their visitors, who are missing a number of players and look incapable of being able to contain the threat of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
66.08%18.43%15.48%
Both teams to score 58.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42%34.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48%56.51%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.54%32.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.08%
    Borussia Dortmund 15.48%
    Draw 18.43%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 7.24%
4-1 @ 4.39%
4-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 66.08%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-1 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
71.0%
Draw
10.0%
Borussia Dortmund
19.0%
100
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
3-2
Dortmund
Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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