Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 13, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Wolf (21')
Can (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunner (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Engers vs. Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28
18	Greuther Furth	34	-54	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
78.24%	13.47%	8.29%

Both teams to score 52.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.95%

30.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.74%

51.26%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87%

6.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75%

23.24%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56%

44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88%

80.12%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 78.23%

Arminia Bielefeld 8.29%

Draw 13.47%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 10.51% 3-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.84% 4-1 @ 5.61% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.3% 5-1 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.3% 6-0 @ 1.78% 6-1 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 4.21% Total : 78.23%	1-1 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 3.55% 0-0 @ 2.7% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.47%	1-2 @ 2.54% 0-1 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 0.97% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.29%