Dortmund

1 - 0

Arminia Bielefeld

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.