DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
 
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Engers
1 - 7
Arminia Bielefeld

Kap (54')
Naric (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Serra (9', 70'), Klos (24', 50'), Okugawa (56'), Lasme (86'), Hack (90+1')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FV Engers 07 and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

FV Engers 07

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Last Game: Engers 0-3 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 Jahn
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FV Engers 07 had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FV Engers 07 win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
FV Engers 07DrawArminia Bielefeld
18.05% (-0.694 -0.69)19.98% (-0.475 -0.47)61.97% (1.171 1.17)
Both teams to score 58.47% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (1.086 1.09)37.11% (-1.084 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (1.163 1.16)59.31% (-1.161 -1.16)
FV Engers 07 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)33.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.58% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.651 0.65)11.52% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.57% (1.387 1.39)36.42% (-1.385 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    FV Engers 07 18.05%
    Arminia Bielefeld 61.97%
    Draw 19.98%
FV Engers 07DrawArminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 4.94% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-0 @ 2.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 6.57% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.84% (0.181 0.18)
0-4 @ 3.55% (0.175 0.18)
2-4 @ 2.08% (0.093 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.118 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.53% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 61.97%