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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
19.81% | 19.82% | 60.37% |
Both teams to score 62.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% | 33.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.81% | 55.19% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.17% | 10.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.1% | 34.9% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.81% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.82% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 7.16% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.98% 0-4 @ 3.3% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.77% 0-5 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.07% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |