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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
61.18% | 19.51% | 19.3% |
Both teams to score 62.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.62% | 54.37% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% | 10.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.03% | 33.96% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.08% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.11% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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