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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 61.18% | 19.51% | 19.3% |
| Both teams to score 62.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.37% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% | 10.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.03% | 33.96% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% | 29.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% | 66.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.11% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.3% |