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Greuther Furth
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Greuther Furth
1 - 3
Dortmund

Ngankam (70')
Tillman (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (26', 72'), Passlack (77')
Akanji (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite Dortmund being expected to stroll to a comfortable win on paper, we do not see this being such an easy victory for the visitors here. The hosts will be full of desire to pick up an impressive result and the visitors displayed little character in their defeat last weekend, whilst the expected absence of Haaland adds to a lengthy injury list, so although Dortmund should come out winners, it is likely to be a tighter game than many expect.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth has a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 0-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 10.02% and the second most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 9.29%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
11.41%15.92%72.67%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71%32.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1%53.9%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29%7.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.54%27.46%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 11.41%
    Borussia Dortmund 72.67%
    Draw 15.92%
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.36%
1-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 1.33%
2-0 @ 1.31%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 11.41%
1-1 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.92%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-3 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-4 @ 5.49%
1-4 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-5 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.36%
2-5 @ 1.21%
0-6 @ 1.2%
1-6 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 72.67%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Dortmund

Greuther Furth
10.4%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
77.1%
48
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Greuther Furth
Braut Haaland (33' pen., 82'), Malen (89')
Hummels (15'), Bellingham (43')

Bauer (32'), Willems (43'), Leitl (45+4')
Aug 20, 2018 7.45pm
Greuther Furth
1-2
Dortmund
Ernst (77')
Ernst (38'), Maloca (108'), Abouchabaka (110')
Reus (120'), Witsel (90')
Akanji (115')
Apr 13, 2013 2.30pm
Greuther Furth
1-6
Dortmund
Prib (71')
Gündogan (15', 33'), Götze (12', 45'), Blaszczykowski (28'), Lewandowski (80')
Santana (75')
Nov 17, 2012 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Greuther Furth
Lewandowski (3', 15' pen.), Götze (42')
Lewandowski (12'), Perisic (20')
Stieber (5')
Azemi (34'), Schmidtgal (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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