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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-4 Freiburg

Greuther Furth are likely to pose a threat in the final third, having scored in eight of their last 11 league games; however, their defensive frailties could let them down once again against an in-form Freiburg outfit. The visitors will be strong favourites to come away with all three points on Saturday and few would be surprised to see them win convincingly at Sportpark Ronhof. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
26.97%23.98%49.04%
Both teams to score 56.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.22%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57%66.44%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48%49.53%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 26.97%
    Freiburg 49.05%
    Draw 23.98%
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 6.73%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.97%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.05%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Freiburg

Greuther Furth
13.0%
Draw
8.7%
Freiburg
78.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-1
Greuther Furth
Asta (20' og.), Hofler (39'), Grifo (79' pen.)
Leweling (74')
Green (41'), Christiansen (50')
May 11, 2013 2.30pm
Dec 8, 2012 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-0
Greuther Furth
Caligiuri (15')
Sorg (47'), Günter (85')

Kleine (8'), Asamoah (33'), Rahman (59'), Nehrig (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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