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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 61.14% | 22.04% | 16.82% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% | 70.58% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% | 15.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% | 44.14% |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.87% | 42.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% | 78.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 6.13% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.82% |