Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Greuther Furth2 - 1Hertha Berlin
We said: Greuther Furth 2-2 Hertha Berlin
Goals are to be expected on Saturday as the two teams with the worst defensive records in this season's Bundesliga, conceding 99 goals between them, lock horns in Bavaria. Hertha came out on top the last time that they faced Furth, but they may have to settle for just a point on this occasion in a closely-fought contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 40.07% | 26.04% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 53.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
