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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
11.19% | 14.55% | 74.26% |
Both teams to score 61.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.39% | 25.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.28% | 45.72% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% | 35.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% | 71.82% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.12% | 5.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.45% | 22.55% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.21% 1-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.59% 2-0 @ 1.13% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.19% | 1-1 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 2.06% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.55% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-3 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.85% 1-4 @ 5.81% 0-4 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.3% 1-5 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 3.04% 2-5 @ 1.73% 1-6 @ 1.56% 0-6 @ 1.49% 3-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.46% Total : 74.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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