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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 11.19% | 14.55% | 74.26% |
| Both teams to score 61.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.39% | 25.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.28% | 45.72% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% | 35.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.18% | 71.82% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.12% | 5.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.45% | 22.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.21% 1-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.59% 2-0 @ 1.13% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.19% | 1-1 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 2.06% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.55% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-3 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.85% 1-4 @ 5.81% 0-4 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.3% 1-5 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 3.04% 2-5 @ 1.73% 1-6 @ 1.56% 0-6 @ 1.49% 3-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.46% Total : 74.26% |