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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 17.91% | 18.53% | 63.55% |
| Both teams to score 63.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.78% | 30.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.55% | 51.45% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% | 29.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% | 65.89% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% | 9.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.01% | 30.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.77% 1-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.3% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.62% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 7.53% 0-1 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 6.22% 2-3 @ 4.56% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.72% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.16% 0-5 @ 1.78% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.19% Total : 63.55% |