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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 55.9% | 22.02% | 22.07% |
| Both teams to score 58.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% | 40.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% | 14.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.57% | 42.43% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 6.36% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-1 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.54% Total : 22.07% |