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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 42.07% | 24.2% | 33.72% |
| Both teams to score 60.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.59% | 42.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% | 64.81% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% | 20.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% | 52.72% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% | 24.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% | 59.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.72% |