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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 33.58% | 24.05% | 42.37% |
| Both teams to score 60.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% | 41.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% | 24.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% | 19.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% | 52.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.37% |