Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.