Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Freiburg

Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
48.68%	23.45%	27.87%

Both teams to score 59.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25%

41.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85%

64.15%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66%

17.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28%

47.72%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01%

27.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37%

63.63%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 48.68%

Freiburg 27.88%

Draw 23.44%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.88%