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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Hoffenheim |
46.58% (![]() | 22.22% (![]() | 31.2% |
Both teams to score 66.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.22% (![]() | 33.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.39% (![]() | 55.61% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.91% | 15.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.38% | 43.62% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% (![]() | 21.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% (![]() | 55.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-3 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.3% 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.44% Total : 31.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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