DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
 
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Oberachern
1 - 9
Borussia M'bach

Huber (61')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Thuram (3', 22', 36'), Hofmann (37', 45+3'), Bensebaini (45'), Stindl (47'), Scally (59'), Neuhaus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Oberachern and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 93%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Oberachern had a probability of 2.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-4 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.38%) and 0-5 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.94%), while for a Oberachern win it was 2-1 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
OberachernDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2.2% (0.046 0.05)4.8% (0.063899999999999 0.06)93% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
88.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)11.51% (0.039 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
75.1% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Oberachern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (0.28 0.28)47.74% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (0.206 0.21)83.04% (-0.202 -0.2)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.25% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)6.75% (0.0589 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oberachern 2.2%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 93%
    Draw 4.8%
OberachernDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 2.2%
1-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.57% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.8%
0-4 @ 9.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 8.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 6.78% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.2% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 5.86% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-6 @ 4.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.033 0.03)
0-7 @ 3.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-7 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-8 @ 2.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-6 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
1-8 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-7 @ 1% (0.004 0)
0-9 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 93%