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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern

Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
20.25%19.1%60.65%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88%29.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88%50.12%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16%31.83%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 20.25%
    Bayern Munich 60.65%
    Draw 19.1%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.26%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 20.25%
1-1 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.54%
2-5 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
10.1%
Draw
10.1%
Bayern Munich
79.7%
79
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-6
Bayern
Gnabry (2'), Kimmich (7'), Zirkzee (15'), Coutinho (33', 47'), Goretzka (62')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
4-3
Hoffenheim
Hubner (13' og.), Muller (20'), Lewandowski (36', 80')
Tolisso (40'), Pavard (55'), Alaba (84')
Boateng (8' og.), Dabour (82', 90')
Nordtveit (31')