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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern

Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim are likely to cause this shaky Bayern defence some problems on Saturday, especially given their excellent recent form, but with several defensive absentees, they could struggle to contain this deadly opposition strikeforce. If Lewandowski and co can replicate their exceptional standards of midweek, then there's no reason why Bayern will not stroll to another comfortable victory despite the calibre of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
20.25%19.1%60.65%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88%29.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88%50.12%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16%31.83%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 20.25%
    Bayern Munich 60.65%
    Draw 19.1%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.26%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 20.25%
1-1 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.54%
2-5 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
10.1%
Draw
10.1%
Bayern Munich
79.7%
79
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-6
Bayern
Gnabry (2'), Kimmich (7'), Zirkzee (15'), Coutinho (33', 47'), Goretzka (62')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
4-3
Hoffenheim
Hubner (13' og.), Muller (20'), Lewandowski (36', 80')
Tolisso (40'), Pavard (55'), Alaba (84')
Boateng (8' og.), Dabour (82', 90')
Nordtveit (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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