Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.