Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.