Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
59.86%	19.07%	21.08%

Both teams to score 67.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.3%

27.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.63%

48.38%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74%

9.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.72%

31.29%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79%

60.21%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 59.86%

RB Leipzig 21.08%

Draw 19.07%

Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.95% 5-1 @ 2.05% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-2 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.29% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.07%	1-2 @ 5.26% 0-1 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.08%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich

81.3%

Draw

12.1%

RB Leipzig

6.5%