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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.12%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.07% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.15%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 20.07% | 19.81% | 60.12% |
| Both teams to score 62.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.04% | 32.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.32% | 54.68% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% | 65.41% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% | 10.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.25% | 34.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% 1-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.4% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.07% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 3.16% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 3.99% 0-4 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-5 @ 1.09% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.12% |