Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).