Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
3 - 1
Bayern

Burkardt (18'), Niakhate (27'), Barreiro (57')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lewandowski (33')
Kimmich (43'), Hernandez (65'), Pavard (73'), Sane (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
13.72%	18.9%	67.39%

Both teams to score 51.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.19%

40.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.8%

63.21%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35%

41.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87%

78.14%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83%

11.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.35%

35.65%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 13.72%

Bayern Munich 67.37%

Draw 18.9%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 4.07% 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.72%	1-1 @ 8.93% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.9%	0-2 @ 11.17% 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 7.15% 0-4 @ 4.48% 1-4 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.97% Total : 67.37%