Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 4
Bayern

Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
14.52%	17.07%	68.41%

Both teams to score 61.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16%

29.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49%

51%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61%

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98%

70.01%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02%

7.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84%

28.16%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 14.52%

Bayern Munich 68.41%

Draw 17.07%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.05% 1-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.87% 2-0 @ 1.6% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 14.52%	1-1 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 2.66% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.07%	1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 7.88% 0-3 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-4 @ 4.98% 0-4 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 4.32% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 2.3% 2-5 @ 1.38% 1-6 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 1% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.41%