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Champions League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Bayern
7 - 1
Salzburg

Lewandowski (12' pen., 21' pen., 23'), Gnabry (31'), Muller (54', 83'), Sane (85')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Kjaergaard (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Red Bull Salzburg

Last Six:
    Last Game: Bayern 7-1 Salzburg
    Tuesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

    Result
    Bayern MunichDrawRed Bull Salzburg
    52.95%22.69%24.35%
    Both teams to score 58.71%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    58.71%41.28%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    36.32%63.68%
    Bayern Munich Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    84.37%15.62%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    55.37%44.63%
    Red Bull Salzburg Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.58%30.41%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.38%66.61%
    Score Analysis
        Bayern Munich 52.95%
        Red Bull Salzburg 24.35%
        Draw 22.69%
    Bayern MunichDrawRed Bull Salzburg
    2-1 @ 9.75%
    1-0 @ 8.82%
    2-0 @ 8.19%
    3-1 @ 6.03%
    3-0 @ 5.07%
    3-2 @ 3.59%
    4-1 @ 2.8%
    4-0 @ 2.35%
    4-2 @ 1.67%
    5-1 @ 1.04%
    Other @ 3.66%
    Total : 52.95%
    		1-1 @ 10.5%
    2-2 @ 5.8%
    0-0 @ 4.75%
    3-3 @ 1.42%
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 22.69%
    		1-2 @ 6.25%
    0-1 @ 5.66%
    0-2 @ 3.37%
    1-3 @ 2.48%
    2-3 @ 2.3%
    0-3 @ 1.34%
    Other @ 2.97%
    Total : 24.35%

    How you voted: Bayern vs Salzburg

    Bayern Munich
    79.4%
    Draw
    10.5%
    Red Bull Salzburg
    10.1%
    287
    Head to Head
    Feb 16, 2022 8pm
    Salzburg
    1-1
    Bayern
    Adamu (21')
    Kohn (86')
    Coman (90')
    Coman (83'), Sabitzer (90+2')
    Nov 25, 2020 8pm
    Group A
    Bayern
    3-1
    Salzburg
    Lewandowski (42'), Wober (52' og.), Sane (68')
    Neuer (24'), Roca (48')
    Roca (66')
    Berisha (73')
    Koita (58'), Camara (90+5')
    Nov 3, 2020 8pm
    Group A
    Salzburg
    2-6
    Bayern
    Berisha (4'), Okugawa (66')
    Camara (53'), Mwepu (85')
    Lewandowski (21' pen., 88'), Nissen (44' og.), Boateng (79'), Sane (83'), Hernandez (90+2')
    Pavard (23'), Gnabry (68')
    > Preview
    rhs 2.0


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