Champions League
Mar 8, 2022 8.00pm
7
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 12' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 21' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 23' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 31' goal
  • Thomas Muller 54' goal
  • Thomas Muller 83' goal
  • Leroy Sane 85' goal
  • goal Maurits Kjaergaard 70'

Bayern Munich vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 16, 2022 8.00pm
Salzburg 1 - 1 Bayern

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 16, 2022 8.00pm
Salzburg 1 - 1 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 52.95%
Draw 22.69%
Red Bull Salzburg 24.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.71%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.71%
Under 2.5 41.28%
Over 3.5 36.32%
Under 3.5 63.68%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 84.37%
Under 0.5 15.62%
Over 1.5 55.37%
Under 1.5 44.63%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 69.58%
Under 0.5 30.41%
Over 1.5 33.38%
Under 1.5 66.61%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 52.95%
Draw 22.69%
Red Bull Salzburg 24.35%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.69%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 16, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 21' goal
  • Philipp Kohn 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 83'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 90'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 90'+2'
Champions League
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Manuel Neuer 24' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 42' goal
  • Marc Roca 48' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Wober 52' goal
  • Marc Roca 66' redcard
  • Leroy Sane 68' goal
  • yellowcard Sekou Koita 58'
  • goal Mergim Berisha 73'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Camara 90'+5'
Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
2
6
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mergim Berisha 4' goal
  • Mohamed Camara 53' yellowcard
  • Masaya Okugawa 66' goal
  • Enock Mwepu 85' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 21'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 23'
  • goal Rasmus Nissen 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 68'
  • goal Jerome Boateng 79'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 88'
  • goal Lucas Hernandez 90'+2'