Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 1
Bayern

(Bayern Munich win 8-2 on aggregate)

Adamu (21')
Kohn (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coman (90')
Coman (83'), Sabitzer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 39.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.25%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
39.95%	19.77%	40.29%

Both teams to score 78.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.95%

19.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.27%

36.74%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62%

11.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88%

36.12%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72%

11.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11%

35.9%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 39.95%

Bayern Munich 40.29%

Draw 19.77%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.62% 3-2 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 2.84% 1-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-3 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.23% Total : 39.95%	2-2 @ 7.22% 1-1 @ 6.09% 3-3 @ 3.8% 0-0 @ 1.28% 4-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.77%	1-2 @ 6.64% 2-3 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 2.86% 0-1 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.22% 3-4 @ 2.08% 2-5 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.15% 3-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 40.29%

How you voted: Salzburg vs Bayern

Red Bull Salzburg

10.6%

Draw

7.3%

Bayern Munich

82.1%