Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.