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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Baumgartl (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have caused problems for Bayern Munich countless times in previous meetings, and we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet this weekend. However, the hosts will be fired up in a bid to turn their fortunes around and their elite attackers possess all the qualities required to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
82.78%11.26%5.95%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.74%28.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92%49.07%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.01%4.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.06%19.93%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25%48.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22%83.77%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.78%
    Union Berlin 5.95%
    Draw 11.26%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
3-0 @ 10.93%
2-0 @ 10.93%
4-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.29%
4-1 @ 5.89%
5-0 @ 4.92%
5-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.82%
6-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.12%
6-1 @ 1.77%
5-2 @ 1.27%
7-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 82.78%
1-1 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 11.26%
1-2 @ 1.88%
0-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.95%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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