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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin

As was the case in midweek, we can see Leipzig coming out on top here against a visiting Union side that lacks the same quality and intensity when playing on the road. The late winner on Wednesday is sure to give the hosts a huge psychological advantage over their opponents too, and with the excellent form that they find themselves in during 2022, it is difficult to see many being able to stop them extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
69.38%18.07%12.55%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85%62.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63%10.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.13%33.87%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9%79.11%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 69.37%
    Union Berlin 12.55%
    Draw 18.07%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.39%
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 4.88%
4-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 8.54%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.07%
0-1 @ 3.77%
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
79.2%
Draw
8.3%
Union Berlin
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Union Berlin
Werner (51', 83'), Sabitzer (57')
Haidara (88')
Bulter (10')
Andersson (60'), Ryerson (71'), Parensen (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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