Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Union Berlin

Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
32.4%	24.96%	42.64%

Both teams to score 56.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69%

46.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4%

68.6%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31%

62.69%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28%

21.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11%

54.89%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 32.4%

Union Berlin 42.64%

Draw 24.96%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.4%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.64%