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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 49.41% | 25.21% | 25.38% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% | 20.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% | 53.39% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% | 34.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.39% |