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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 29.26% | 26.02% | 44.72% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% | 52.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% | 73.83% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% | 32.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% | 68.84% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% | 23.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% | 57.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.72% |