Union Berlin
2 - 1
St Pauli

Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kyereh (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Union Berlin and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	St Pauli
38.16%	24.53%	37.31%

Both teams to score 59.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55%

43.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15%

65.85%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34%

22.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7%

56.3%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9%

23.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05%

56.95%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 38.16%

St Pauli 37.31%

Draw 24.53%

Union Berlin	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.34% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.31%