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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
2 - 1
St Pauli

Schonlau (58'), Jatta (70')
Walter (63'), Kittel (66'), Reis (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burgstaller (30')
Amenyido (26'), Irvine (45+3'), Hartel (65'), Benatelli (90+4')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamburger SV in this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawSt Pauli
58.01%20.72%21.27%
Both teams to score 61.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.37%35.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.31%57.68%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85%12.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24%37.76%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12%29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02%65.98%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 58.01%
    St Pauli 21.27%
    Draw 20.72%
Hamburger SVDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 6.85%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 4.14%
4-1 @ 3.61%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 21.27%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs St Pauli

Hamburger SV
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Pauli
60.0%
10