Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

May 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Olympiastadion

Hertha Berlin
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Ibisevic (51'), Lukebakio (52'), Cunha (61'), Boyata (77')
Lukebakio (43'), Grujic (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parensen (9')

The Match

Match Report

The match was only the sixth Berlin derby in Bundesliga history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and city rivals Union Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
36.08%	25.08%	38.84%

Both teams to score 57.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92%

46.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62%

68.38%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03%

24.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39%

59.61%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52%

23.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49%

57.51%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 36.08%

Union Berlin 38.84%

Draw 25.07%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 8.18% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.08%	1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07%	1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.84%