DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
Stadion an der Gellertstrasse
Union Berlin logo

Chemnitzer
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Muller (62')
Walther (102')
FT
(aet)
Siebatcheu (64'), Behrens (114')
Schafer (111')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Chemnitzer and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Chemnitzer 2-2 Hoffenheim (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, September 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Chemnitzer win it was 1-0 (5.68%).

Result
ChemnitzerDrawUnion Berlin
21.42% (2.794 2.79)22.52% (1.742 1.74)56.06% (-4.538 -4.54)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-1.295 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (-3.924 -3.92)43.82% (3.922 3.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-3.951 -3.95)66.2% (3.949 3.95)
Chemnitzer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.55 0.55)34.4% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.584 0.58)71.11% (-0.586 -0.59)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-2.707 -2.71)15.46% (2.705 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-5.301 -5.3)44.32% (5.298 5.3)
Score Analysis
    Chemnitzer 21.42%
    Union Berlin 56.06%
    Draw 22.51%
ChemnitzerDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.989 0.99)
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.565 0.57)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.234 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.939 0.94)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.86 0.86)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.748 0.75)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.15% (-0.666 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.721 -0.72)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.639 -0.64)
0-4 @ 2.69% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.37 -0.37)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.06%

How you voted: Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin

Chemnitzer
19.4%
Draw
6.5%
Union Berlin
74.2%
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