Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Chemnitzer win it was 1-0 (5.68%).