Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
58.2%	21.92%	19.87%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.77%

43.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.37%

65.62%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43%

14.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.38%

42.62%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41%

35.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64%

72.36%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 58.2%

Wolfsburg 19.87%

Draw 21.92%

Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.62% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.08% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.82% Total : 58.2%	1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.35% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.87%