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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart

FT

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

 Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
52.82%24.53%22.64%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05%50.95%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.82%
    Stuttgart 22.65%
    Draw 24.53%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Stuttgart
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz 05
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz 05
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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