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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Mainz logo

FC Koln
3 - 2
Mainz 05

Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Mainz 05

 Both sides will be keen to return to winning ways as they look to end the campaign on a high by securing at least a top-half finish. The visitors have struggled away from home for some time, and although they were victorious in their last visit to Koln, we feel that the hosts will do enough to claim all three points, especially if Modeste is fit to lead the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
45.49%24.22%30.28%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15%43.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76%66.24%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73%51.27%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.88%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.49%
    Mainz 05 30.28%
    Draw 24.22%
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Mainz 05

FC Koln
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Mainz 05
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz 05
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')
Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')
May 17, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Mainz 05
Oct 25, 2019 7.30pm
Mainz 05
3-1
FC Koln
Boetius (21'), Quaison (57'), Oztunali (82')
Kunde (48'), Niakhate (60')
Terodde (14')
Bornauw (41'), Hector (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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