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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
45.49% | 24.22% | 30.28% |
Both teams to score 58.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% | 43.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% | 66.24% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% | 19.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% | 51.27% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% | 27.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% | 62.88% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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