Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 19.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.