Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
4 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Burkardt (1', 75' pen.), Niakhate (65' pen.), Ingvartsen (79' pen.)
Kohr (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46

Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Engers vs. Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28
18	Greuther Furth	34	-54	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
63.81%	21.76%	14.43%

Both teams to score 44.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71%

73.29%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49%

15.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59%

44.42%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.8%

47.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36%

82.64%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 63.8%

Arminia Bielefeld 14.43%

Draw 21.75%

Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.97% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.43%