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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Mainz 05
4 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Burkardt (1', 75' pen.), Niakhate (65' pen.), Ingvartsen (79' pen.)
Kohr (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Engers vs. Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld

While they have hit a recent dip in form, we see the hosts being too strong for their visitors on Saturday and expect them to return to winning ways against a side devoid of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
63.81%21.76%14.43%
Both teams to score 44.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59%44.42%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8%47.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36%82.64%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 63.8%
    Arminia Bielefeld 14.43%
    Draw 21.75%
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.5%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.43%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz 05
79.3%
Draw
10.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
Mainz 05
Laursen (42')
Andrade (52'), Prietl (70')
Jae-sung (25'), Burkardt (69')
Kohr (58'), Hack (77'), Bell (80')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Mainz 05
3-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz 05
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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