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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
29.06% | 23.99% | 46.95% |
Both teams to score 58.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% | 43.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.14% | 65.85% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% | 63.69% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.1% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 5.24% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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